How to Estimate the Size of a Market with the Diffbot Knowledge Graph

Organizations are one of our most popular standard entities in the Diffbot Knowledge Graph, for good reason. Behind 200M+ company data profiles is an architecture that enables incredibly precise search and summarization, allowing anyone to estimate the size of a market and forecast business opportunity in any niche.

 

Pre-Requisites

 

Step 1 – Find Companies Like X

In a perfect world, every market and industry on the planet is neatly organized into well defined categories. In practice, this gets close, but not close enough, especially for niche markets.

What we’ll need instead is a combination of traits, including industry classifiers, keywords, and other characteristics that define companies in a market.

This is much easier to define by starting with companies we know that fit the bill. Think of it as searching for “companies like X”.

 
Box of Panettone cake

 

As an example, let’s start with finding companies like Bauducco, producer of this lovely Panettone cake. This is a market we’re hoping to sell say, a commercial cake baking oven to.

The closest definition of a market I might imagine for them is something like “packaged foods”. We could google this term and get some really generic hits for “food and beverage companies”, or we can do better.

We’ll start by looking this company up on Diffbot’s Knowledge Graph with a query like this

 
View In Knowledge Graphtype:Organization homepageUri:”bauducco.com”
 
Next, click through the most relevant result to a company profile.

Now let’s gather everything on this page that describes a company like Bauducco.

 
Diffbot company profile page for Bauducco

 

Under the company summary, the closest descriptor to their signature Panettone is “cakes”. Note that.

Under industries, they might be involved in agriculture to some degree, but we’re not really looking for other companies that are involved in agriculture. “Food and Drink Companies” will do!

That’s it.

Now that we have these traits, let’s construct a search query with DQL:

 
View In Knowledge Graphtype:Organization industries:"Food and Drink Companies" description:or("cakes", "cake")

Diffbot search results - 47,000 companies like Bauducco

 

Nearly 48,000 results! That’s a huge list of potential customers. Like the original google search, it’s a bit too generic to work with. Unlike results from Google though, we can segment this down as much as we’d like with just a few more parameters.

💡 Pro Tip: To see a full list of available traits to construct your query with, go to enhance.diffbot.com/ontology.

 

Step 2 – Remove Irrelevant Traits

What I’m first noticing is that there are a lot of international brands on this list. I’m interested in selling to companies like Bauducco in the U.S., so let’s trim this list to just companies with a presence in the United States.

 
View In Knowledge Graphtype:Organization industries:"Food and Drink Companies" description:or("cakes", "cake") locations.country.name:"United States"

Diffbot search results - companies like Bauducco in the U.S.
 

Note that there are two “location” attributes. A singular and a plural version. The plural version (“locations”) will match all known locations of a company. The singular version (“location”) will only match the known headquarters of a company.

Down to 8800 results. Much better. We’re not really interested in ice cream companies in this market either (after all, we’re selling a baking oven), so we’ll use the not() operator to filter ice cream companies out.

 
View In Knowledge Graphtype:Organization industries:"Food and Drink Companies" description:or("cakes", "cake") not(description:"ice cream") locations.country.name:"United States"
 

Let’s also say our oven is really only practical for large operations of at least 100 employees. We’ll add a minimum employee threshold to our query.

 
View In Knowledge Graphtype:Organization industries:"Food and Drink Companies" description:or("cakes", "cake") not(description:"ice cream") locations.country.name:"United States" nbEmployeesMin>=100


 

262 results. Now we’re really getting somewhere. Let’s stop here to calculate our total addressable market.

 

Step 4 – Calculate Total Addressable Market

To calculate TAM, we simply multiply the number of potential customers by the annual contract value of each customer.

TAM = Number of Potential Customers x Annual Contract Value

At a $1M average contract value with 262 potential customers, our TAM is approximately $262M.

This is just a starting point of course, we’ll want to assess existing competition, pricing sensitivity, as well as how much of the existing market would be willing to switch for our unique value proposition. We’ll leave that for another day.

 

Takeaways

Try replicating these steps for a market of your choosing. The ability to filter and summarize practically any field in the ontology provides limitless potential for market and competitive intelligence.

Need some inspiration? Here’re some additional examples:

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How We Increased Our Lead Contact Rate by 46% with Diffbot Enhance

Hi! This is Jerome from Diffbot. You might’ve seen us around before. We’re known for our automatic extraction APIs, and our knowledge graph of the public web. Today, I’d like to introduce you to Diffbot Enhance, lead enrichment anywhere you need it.

Lead enrichment doesn’t get enough credit

When I first saw it in action, it looked like a gimmick - just fields populated in a CRM sold with shockingly pricey annual contracts up-sold alongside Salesforce.

Like keeping your personal address book up to date. Helpful? Sure. Necessary? Not really.

Sales always insists it’s helpful though. I didn’t get it.

Fast forward a few years, we noticed one day that 62% of our inbound leads never make it to a demo call. 62%! These are people who choose to ignore the self-start trial option, fill out a 6 field form, pass a captcha, and click a button that literally says request a demo.

Screenshot of sign up modal on Diffbot's homepage

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